Like any safety critical system, vaccines must be designed for safety. Vaccines are not designed at all. They are developed using trial and error by a bunch of clueless tinkerers.. So they are unsafe by definition.
Vaccine safety: Learning from the Boeing 737 MAX disasters
I have to agree with James Lyons-Weiler on the analysis you ran and the need to teach these sorts of analysis techniques so that we can objectively assess the effectiveness of an agency to detect a safety event for all vaccines.
A systems analysis, with simulation modeling, is an incredible risk/benefit feature to run on all FDA products and would provide a clear set of criteria for cut-off.
I'm fairly certain that 95% of the vaccines on the market now would have triggered a safety signal.
Thank you for this post, and especially the control model image. One very minor suggestion would be to rename the image 'control model good' image or such, so you would have better 'control' over how others may reuse the image, since it has a random name currently...I would love to have THAT on a tshirt by the way! Let me know if you are ok with me making a shirt with that on it, if you get credits. Just an idea I am not a tshirt maker or anything...ok thanks Nick...
Brilliant. I agree w/Wayne's comment below about teaching systems analysis. In fact, please contact me re: a complex systems analysis course for IPAK-EDU! I'd like to see your network diagram run as a simulation w/various parameter values, and I have an analysis I think you'd like to see. Hit us @ info@ipak-edu.org - James Lyons-Weiler
Bravo!!! You can teach a college graduate course with this material. Well done.
Like any safety critical system, vaccines must be designed for safety. Vaccines are not designed at all. They are developed using trial and error by a bunch of clueless tinkerers.. So they are unsafe by definition.
Vaccine safety: Learning from the Boeing 737 MAX disasters
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2648251
https://vinuarumugham.substack.com/p/long-before-eua-fda-and-vaccine-makers
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/news/editorial/an-mrna-vaccine-against-sars-cov-2-preliminary-report-a-researcher-reacts/
Nick,
I have to agree with James Lyons-Weiler on the analysis you ran and the need to teach these sorts of analysis techniques so that we can objectively assess the effectiveness of an agency to detect a safety event for all vaccines.
A systems analysis, with simulation modeling, is an incredible risk/benefit feature to run on all FDA products and would provide a clear set of criteria for cut-off.
I'm fairly certain that 95% of the vaccines on the market now would have triggered a safety signal.
Wow!!! A dominating paper, Nick; thank you for your creative work and care :)
This was my "best shot" to communicate to ~100 public teacher colleagues at a NorCal Bay Area high school: https://carlbherman.blogspot.com/2021/09/essay-to-100-teacher-colleagues-for-red.html
Thank you for this post, and especially the control model image. One very minor suggestion would be to rename the image 'control model good' image or such, so you would have better 'control' over how others may reuse the image, since it has a random name currently...I would love to have THAT on a tshirt by the way! Let me know if you are ok with me making a shirt with that on it, if you get credits. Just an idea I am not a tshirt maker or anything...ok thanks Nick...
Brilliant. I agree w/Wayne's comment below about teaching systems analysis. In fact, please contact me re: a complex systems analysis course for IPAK-EDU! I'd like to see your network diagram run as a simulation w/various parameter values, and I have an analysis I think you'd like to see. Hit us @ info@ipak-edu.org - James Lyons-Weiler